Mitch Raposo Threatens Degli’s Perfect Winning Run

Marcos Degli arrives in the UFC with 13 consecutive victories, an LFA championship pedigree and a substantial advantage on the betting board. Mitch Raposo offers something less spectacular but potentially more demanding: established experience against UFC flyweights.

The Brazilian has finished nine opponents by knockout and five by submission. Raposo has taken his last four UFC opponents to the scorecards, winning his most recent two contests.

Bookmaker Sportsbook opening lines: Mitch Raposo +192, Marcos Degli -230; Over 2.5 rounds -135, Under 2.5 rounds +115.

Mitch Raposo’s Experience Carries Weight

Raposo, 11-3, enters following decision victories over Azat Maksum and Allan Nascimento. Both results show he can stay competitive across three rounds, though neither established him as a dominant offensive force.

His previous split-decision defeats against André Lima and Su Mudaerji reinforce the same pattern: narrow margins, limited scoring separation, and prolonged contests.

Degli, 15-3, presents a contrasting résumé. His recent victories include stoppages against Igor Severino and Eduardo Aguiar, followed by a submission of Paris Moran on Dana White’s Contender Series in September.

A Promotional Debut Changes the Evidence

Degli’s finishing record supports his favoritism, but his opposition has largely competed outside the UFC.

Mitch Raposo has already faced four full-distance UFC opponents whose styles have tested different aspects of his game.

Degli’s Contender Series performance showed he can finish from a grappling transition. Whether that translates into consistent control against a more experienced UFC opponent remains the central uncertainty.

The contrast is not between an established contender and an untested prospect. It is between a proven UFC decision fighter and a prolific regional finisher entering a higher competitive tier.

Data Snapshot

UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | Meta APEX, Las Vegas | Flyweight, 125 lb | Three rounds | Main card begins at 8 PM ET.

Raposo’s Entries Could Expose Marcos Degli

The decisive conflict lies in the transition between Degli’s kicking range and Raposo’s wrestling entries.

Degli possesses a 2.5-inch reach advantage and uses stance changes, feints and kicks to manage distance. Raposo’s explosive level changes create opportunities to interrupt that rhythm.

However, Mitch Raposo completed only six of 19 takedown attempts against Mudaerji. His wrestling can consume substantial energy without producing sustained control.

Degli’s submission of Moran demonstrated his ability to exploit transitional grappling opportunities. An unsuccessful Raposo entry could therefore become an attacking opportunity for the Brazilian rather than a neutral reset.

The uncertainty is Degli’s defensive wrestling against persistent UFC-level pressure. His limited recorded sample offers insufficient evidence to establish how reliably he escapes extended bottom-position exchanges.

If Raposo secures repeated control, the contest could resemble his recent decision victories. If Degli maintains distance and punishes entries, his striking advantage becomes increasingly valuable.

Betting Analysis: Experience Versus Finishing Threat

Sporting prediction: Marcos Degli by unanimous decision.

Degli’s reach, varied striking and transitional submission threat provide the stronger overall technical case.

Betting lean: Over 2.5 rounds (-135).

Raposo’s four consecutive UFC decisions support the possibility of another extended contest, while Degli’s patient striking approach could limit early finishing opportunities.

The principal risk is Degli converting a wrestling scramble into a submission. His regional finishing record also demonstrates the danger of assuming UFC-level durability guarantees survival. Degli deserves favoritism. The over offers the more measured position.

Explore your betting options before spending a penny. Register for free at Bookmaker Sportsbook to unlock live odds, compare available bets, and browse the full range of betting markets. No deposit or wager required, so you can explore before deciding whether to bet.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change without notice.

Please gamble responsibly. Treat sports betting as entertainment, not a source of income or a way to recover financial losses. If you or someone you know needs support, visit our Responsible Gambling page for confidential help and recognized organizations available in your country.

Sources: UFC event card, UFC Raposo profile, UFC Degli profile, Sherdog fight history, The Stats Zone technical preview.