Logan Webb Finds Cardinals Carrying Thin Relief
Michael McGreevy reaches Oracle Park with a 3.97 ERA and a St. Louis offense that has scored 25 runs over its last three games. Logan Webb gets the opposite situational advantage: San Francisco is home, its bullpen worked only three innings Sunday, and St. Louis arrives from Denver after asking seven relievers to protect a four-inning major-league debut from Cooper Hjerpe.
That makes McGreevy’s workload more important than his ERA alone. If San Francisco can shorten his start, the Cardinals may have to revisit arms they would rather leave sitting.
Bookmaker Sportsbook opening line: Giants -125, Cardinals +111, total 7.5. Pick: Giants -125.
Four Perfect Innings Cost Seven Arms
Hjerpe could hardly have delivered a cleaner debut Sunday, retiring all 12 hitters he faced and striking out six. The catch came when his planned four-inning assignment ended. St. Louis then needed seven relievers to finish a 10-8 game at Coors Field.
That creates Monday’s leverage point. McGreevy does not merely need to keep San Francisco quiet. He needs to consume innings.
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McGreevy Has Become The Steady One
The Cardinals’ rotation has absorbed injuries around McGreevy, yet the 26-year-old has remained one of its constants. He enters 6-9 with a 3.97 ERA while St. Louis has gone 10-9 when he starts as a moneyline underdog.
That record explains why +111 is tempting. McGreevy has repeatedly kept St. Louis competitive without needing dominant strikeout totals.
But San Francisco presents a specific threat right now. Rafael Devers has four homers and nine RBIs across his last five games, giving the Giants precisely the kind of middle-order damage that can turn one McGreevy mistake into an early bullpen calculation.
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Logan Webb Gets The Stranger Assignment
Webb’s 4.21 ERA is unusually ordinary by his standards, and St. Louis arrives with several hitters seeing the ball well. Jordan Walker enters batting .284 with 28 homers, while Alec Burleson carries a .283 average and .345 on-base percentage.
The Cardinals also just produced 10 runs Sunday, with Burleson and Ivan Herrera collecting three hits apiece. That recent offense matters here because Webb’s value is tied to generating ground balls before traffic becomes damage.
He does, however, get the cleaner support structure. San Francisco needed only Carson Seymour, Ryan Watson, and Kodai Senga after Cesar Perdomo supplied six innings Sunday.
Minus 125 Prices The Sixth Inning
Bookmaker Sportsbook opened San Francisco at -125, St. Louis at +111, with Over 7.5 -113 and Under 7.5 +100.
The starting pitchers are close enough that the price is not about separating Webb dramatically from McGreevy. It is about what waits when either starter leaves.
Betting lean: Giants -125.
St. Louis can wreck the wager if McGreevy supplies seven efficient innings and its hot lineup reaches Webb early. But Sunday left San Francisco with far more late-game flexibility. At -125, that difference is enough.
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Data Snapshot
| Category | St. Louis Cardinals | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Record entering Monday | 72-72 | 59-85 |
| Starting pitcher | Michael McGreevy | Logan Webb |
| Throws | Right | Right |
| Starter record | 6-9 | 8-8 |
| Starter ERA | 3.97 | 4.21 |
| Team runs/game | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Team batting average | .244 | .248 |
| Team ERA | 4.32 | 4.39 |
| Sunday bullpen pitchers used | 7 | 3 |
| First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET | 5:10 p.m. PT |
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