Hazem Kayyali Trained For Diani’s Worst Habit

Badreddine Diani has made subtlety unnecessary. His route past Hazem Kayyali runs through clinches, takedowns, and long stretches in which Kayyali’s striking becomes irrelevant.

Diani has eight submission wins in 11 professional wins; Kayyali arrives with six knockouts in nine victories and a very different preference for where Friday takes place.

Bookmaker Sportsbook‘s opening line: Kayyali +124, Diani -155. Prediction: Diani by decision. Betting lean: Diani -155.

Hazem Kayyali Has Been Training For Gravity

Kayyali isn’t pretending the wrestling problem does not exist. Ahead of the semifinal, he described Diani as a strong grappler and said his camp had focused heavily on wrestling and grappling while keeping the striking that brought him here.

That preparation is the fight. Hazem Kayyali is dangerous when exchanges remain available long enough for his combinations and power to matter. Diani’s job description naturally removes those exchanges rather than competing inside them.

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Diani Can Make Winning Look Miserable

Diani does not require a clean kickboxing match to justify -155. His grappling gives him several ways to turn Kayyali’s offense off: force him backward, attach to the hips, make him defend transitions, and restart the same argument against the fence.

The danger is that Hazem Kayyali’s preparation makes the first layer harder than the price assumes. Stuff two early entries, and suddenly Diani is standing at the distance his opponent actually wants.

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Minus 155 Buys The Repetition

That is ultimately where the favorite earns the lean. Kayyali can win individual striking exchanges. Diani can repeatedly change what kind of exchange is taking place.

At -155, there is enough room for failed takedowns, ugly clinches and minutes that accomplish little aesthetically while still pushing the scorecards in one direction.

Prediction: Badreddine Diani by decision.

Betting lean: Diani -155.

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