Edwards Prepared. Bellato Prefers Broken Plans

Christian Edwards finally got the preparation. His UFC debut came on five days’ notice. Four months later, he returns with a full camp, a 6-foot-5 frame, and considerably more time to prepare for what happens when Rodolfo Bellato turns a light-heavyweight fight untidy.

Bellato has other plans for those preparations. The Brazilian has finished 12 of his 13 professional victories, nine in the opening round. His UFC fights have also shown the uncomfortable part: he absorbs 5.86 significant strikes per minute.

Bookmaker Sportsbook‘s opening line has Bellato -178 and Edwards +153, with Over 1.5 rounds -164 and Under +143. My pick is Bellato -178, with Bellato winning by second-round submission.

Edwards Finally Gets the Missing Weeks

Edwards’ UFC debut tells us surprisingly little about this version. He accepted Modestas Bukauskas on five days’ notice and still won a split decision. UFC specifically frames the full training camp as the chance to show what was missing in May.

His length complicates Bellato’s entries, while four knockout wins give careless pressure a price.

More previews and fight resources are available through our MMA/UFC Betting Hub.

Bellato’s Violence Comes With Doors Open

Bellato lands 5.37 significant strikes per minute. He absorbs 5.86. That is not a typo. It is the invitation inside the favorite.

Bellato’s answer is variety. The jiu-jitsu black belt owns eight knockout victories and four submissions, while the UFC records a 94% takedown defense. His preferred grappling finish is to take the back and finish with a rear-naked choke.

Edwards can punish him standing. Bellato can change what standing means.

The UFC Betting Guide contains additional fight guides and previews.

Minus 178 Buys the Second Door

Edwards at +153 becomes interesting if his full camp keeps this long and clean. Bellato rarely offers clean.

He can pressure into exchanges, force clinches and turn broken positions into submission opportunities. Edwards has six professional finishes himself, so Bellato’s defensive openness prevents the favorite from becoming comfortable chalk.

Edwards finally had months to prepare. Bellato gets fifteen minutes to ruin the schedule.

Betting Lean

Rodolfo Bellato -178.

Prediction: Rodolfo Bellato by second-round submission.

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