MLB Picks – The 5 Most Common Mistakes
MLB is one of the most profitable sports to bet on; we present what we consider to be the 5 most common mistakes made when placing MLB picks.
Unlike other sports with shorter seasons, Major League Baseball presents an opportunity to place many MLB picks in an effort to grind out a profit by consistently finding the best odds and making the right choices. Unfortunately, not everyone makes their MLB picks with the same winning formula so I put together an article on common betting mistakes to improve the handicapping skill of our readers and potential baseball bettors.
1 – Pitcher History
I’m not entirely sure why it happens in some cases, but the fact of the matter is that some pitchers can’t pitch in certain stadiums. Don’t just check to see how a certain pitcher has done against the opposing team when you make your MLB picks, but also check to see if his home and road splits against the team are different. Colorado was a pitcher’s burial ground for a long time (not anymore), while lots of pitchers still struggle in Texas. It’s hard to explain, but a quick look at the individual pitcher’s history usually tells the tale. 2 – Lefty/Righty Hitting
When making MLB picks, don’t expect a hot-hitting team to keep their streak alive just because they’ve hit well the last 10 or so games. As an example, say the Reds are hitting .323 over their last 10 games and everyone thinks they’ll automatically crush Tom Gorzellany because he hasn’t had a good season. On the surface, it would look like an easy bet for one of your MLB picks. However, what you have failed to notice is that the Reds have faced all right-handed starters over that span and are hitting just .226 against lefties on the season. Make sure to dig a little deeper before making your MLB picks because the difference between facing a left-handed or right-handed pitcher is huge for some teams.
3 – Stadiums
I’d recommend checking out the dimensions of individual stadiums to get a feel for how a certain pitcher will do in a given game when making your MLB picks. Stadiums can also have an influence on the total scores of the game. Larger stadiums like in San Diego, Oakland, and Seattle tend to make average pitchers look amazing, while smaller stadiums such as Texas, New York (Yankees), and Cincinnati are great places for lots of runs to be scored. Do your homework on the stadium before you make any MLB picks.
4 – Prospects
Try and keep your ear to the ground when it comes to MLB teams calling up their star prospects during the season. These guys provide a big boost to a team and you need to know what’s happening when making your MLB picks. Pitchers have come up in the middle of the season and automatically become the best starters for a team in a playoff push. Do yourself a favor and bookmark a few websites that rate prospects so you’ll know if the new guy in the starting lineup (or on the mound) is going to be any good before you make your MLB picks.
5 – Wind
The issue of wind is often debated amongst MLB handicappers because some believe it has more influence than others. I’m in the group that thinks it plays a large enough part to at least check to see if the wind is blowing in or out of the stadium on game day. It might be the difference between a long fly ball and a warning track out, so it’s something I will at least take a look before making my final decision on MLB picks. When you are making MLB picks at Wrigley Field (home of the Chicago Cubs), it is an absolute necessity to check the wind. I can’t tell you exactly why, but wind affects run totals like nowhere else in this stadium and you NEED to know what way the breeze is heading at Wrigley.
If you take these aspects of the game into consideration when you make your MLB picks, you’ll have a chance to make decent profits during the season. Don’t overlook the details when making MLB picks, because details are often the only difference in close games, and can contribute to big blow outs as well.