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UFC 278 Usman vs. Edwards II Stats Betting Odds Picks

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 takes place at Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah on Saturday, August 20 with 13 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ ESPN+, and four on ESPN/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.

Kamaru Usman is favored against Leon Edwards at UFC 278 on Saturday. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Usman is 20-1 in his career, while Edwards is 19-3 in his career. There are a total of 13 fights, with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+, and four on ESPN/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2. Let’s look at the bout between Usman and Edwards and UFC predictions.

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards II Betting

Kamaru Usman (20-1, 15-0 UFC)

Usman came into the UFC with a near-impeccable 5-1 record. So far in his tenure, he has racked up 15 victories and no losses. In his last 6 fights, he has notched 6 wins with no losses. He has defeated Tyron Woodley by unanimous decision, Colby Covington by TKO, Jorge Masvidal by unanimous decision, Gilbert Burns by TKO, Jorge Masvidal by KO, and Colby Covington by unanimous decision. Usman has lost to one fighter in his 9-year career, who by the way also has a 100% win record. Usman's nine first-round KO/TKO wins demonstrate that he knows how to end a fight in the opening minutes.

Usman said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Edwards, “There’s just something about Leon. I respect him so much, he’s a great competitor, a tough guy. He’s grinding through it. I’ve said it before when I’m inside that octagon, I’m the judge and jury, and I will be the executioner. When he said those things, boom. It stuck with me and its there to where I replay the whole first fight. Replay his attitude, his mood, his demeanor, and hey, he gave me a little shove in that first fight. I’m still not over it. And I don’t feel like I got enough in that first fight. There’s tons of motivation in this fight to go out there and do what I do.”

Leon Edwards (19-3, 11-2 UFC)

His record coming into the UFC was 8-1, with 11 wins and just two losses. In his last six fights, he has six wins and no losses. He defeated Bryan Barberena by unanimous decision, Peter Sobotta by TKO, Donald Cerrone by unanimous decision, Gunnar Nelson by split decision, Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, and Nate Diaz by unanimous decision. He also starts against Robbie Lawler and lost to Conor McGregor. Edwards' last loss in his career was when he went up against Kamaru Usman by unanimous decision in December of 2015. Edwards has been pro since 2011 and has six wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has four first-round finishes.

Edwards said this to lowkickmma.com about his upcoming fight against Usman, “I’m not overcomplicating it to make it bigger than what it is, obviously it’s for the world title but this is my fourth main event for the UFC. I’m going in there to approach it as that, getting my revenge and also winning the belt which is the bonus. That’s how I’m approaching it. I think his wrestling and what he does is pretty basic, it’s nothing like Khabib (Nurmagomedov) or anything like that. He trains on being tough and the stronger opponent in the cage, but his last three opponents are all built like lightweights. I’m going to be one of the biggest guys he’s fought, a rangy southpaw that has great grappling.”

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Usman 4.66 / Edwards 2.62

Striking Accuracy: Usman 52% / Edwards 49%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Usman 2.59 / Edwards 2.15

Defense: Usman 58% / Edwards 55%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Usman 3.00 / Edwards 1.48

Takedown Accuracy: Usman 49% / Edwards 35%

Takedowns defended: Usman 100% / Edwards 70%

Submission average: Usman 0.1 / Edwards 0.3

UFC Picks

I can’t see a clear path to victory for Edwards, as Usman is just the better fighter. The fact that Usman is listed at nearly 4-1 makes it difficult for me to lay big prices and I am not happy with that. I think USMAN has a good chance of taking the win by decision, but since I don’t want to bet too much of my money on this match-up I’ll take a look at the rounds. Neither Usman nor Edwards is a great finisher and there is a very high probability that this fight goes the distance, so I’ll take the fight to go over the rounds total.

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards II Card & Odds

DATE FIGHTERS MONEY LINE

08/20 Leon Edwards +286 Kamaru Usman -390

08/20 Luke Rockhold +261 Paulo Costa -350

08/20 Merab Dvalishvili -130 Jose Aldo +100

08/20 Marcin Tybura +360 Alexandr Romanov -515

08/20 Harry Hunsucker +513 Tyson Pedro -825

08/20 Leonardo Santos +214 Jared Gordon -280

08/20 Yanan Wu +100 Lucie Pudilova -130

08/20 Luis Saldana +254 Sean Woodson -340

08/20 Shanna Young +405 Miranda Maverick -600

08/20 Ange Loosa +124 AJ Fletcher -155

08/20 Francisco Figueiredo +292 Amir Albazi -400

08/20 Jay Perrin +131 Qileng Aori -165

08/20 Daniel da Silva +146 Victor Altamirano -185

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